The aim of the project is to evaluate the impact of land cover change on hydrological cycle elements, especially on evapotranspiration and soil water content. The analysis will be carried out for long historical discharge series measured in the Elbe River basin and for the climate change as well. Evapotranspiration and soil water content will be simulated by the distributed hydrological model SWIM (Soil and Water Integrated Model). The accuracy of the model SWIM will be evaluted in the experimental catchment Liz. The plausibility of the simulations will be verified in several selected basins by evaluation of the historical basin management data. The scenarios of regional climate and land-use change will be used for assesment of the impacts on evapotranspiration and soil water content. Emphasis will be laid on the desiccation of the region.
|
